INSIGHTS

Financial Industry Insights from Advisors Asset Management

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2023 Market Observations and 2024 Expectations


Marty LaPrade, Lead Portfolio Manager, Sawgrass Asset Management has some notable 2023 market observations and discusses the wildcards for 2024 that indicate a potentially volatile year ahead.

2023 Observations:

  • Market returns were driven by a small handful of mega-cap stocks, primarily on optimism over artificial intelligence, which he finds eerily similar to the late 1990’s dot-com era.
  • The Russell 1000 Growth Index posted its strongest return since the inception of the index in 1979, gaining over 42% in 2023.
  • The wide gap between the returns for the Russell 1000 Growth and Russell 1000 Value Indexes exceeded 30%, one of the largest on record.
  • The 16% gap between the median return of the index constituents and the cap weighted return was the largest since the late 1990's dot-com bubble.
  • Marty also notes that large growth returned over 42% in 2023, far outpacing the 29% decline in 2022, yet the 2-year annualized return is approximately 0.5%. This highlights the power of downside protection in compounding long-term results.

Wildcards in 2024 include the ability of the U.S. to achieve the expected soft landing, the timing of any interest rate cuts, and the potential impacts of the turmoil in the mid-East and Ukraine, which indicate a potentially volatile year ahead.

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The opinions and views of this commentary are that of Sawgrass Asset Management and are not necessarily that of Advisors Asset Management.

Any forecasts or opinions expressed herein are Sawgrass Asset Management’s own as of January 9, 2024 and are subject to change without notice. This information may contain, include or is based upon forward-looking statements. Past performance is not indicative of future results.


This commentary is for informational purposes only. All investments are subject to risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see the Disclosures webpage for additional risk information at commentary-disclosures. For additional commentary or financial resources, please visit www.aamlive.com.

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