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Financial Industry Insights from Advisors Asset Management
On November 01, 2018
2018 Equity Markets: Are We Double Dipping?
With the one of the most volatile months behind us, we thought it important to look at what the current market metrics mean and what has happened historically.
Source: Thomson Reuters, Yardeni Research
With all these metrics signaling a correction within a bull market and acknowledging we are in late-stage cycle investing, it appears allocating money to equities is still favorable. On top of that, the economic fundamentals are still positive as evidenced by job markets, consumer and business sentiment, and broad-based GDP (Gross Domestic Product) numbers. While we see some cautionary signs in corporate leverage, increased Treasury issuance to satisfy increasing budget deficits and the steady increasing rate of inflation, the positives still outweigh them. As such, we continue to favor traditional late-stage cycle industries like energy, materials, commodities, industrials and consumer discretionary. While it is difficult to invest with “disposable declarations of despair” dominating the headlines and we could have more volatility ahead, consider what Mark Twain once said: “I was seldom able to see an opportunity until it had ceased to be one.”
CRN: 2018-1101-7004 R
This commentary is for informational purposes only. All investments are subject to risk and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see the Disclosures webpage for additional risk information at commentary-disclosures. For additional commentary or financial resources, please visit www.aamlive.com.
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